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By: Aruni Mukherjee
October 12, 2005
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Manmohan Singh touched down in Delhi on September 17 after his recent trip
to Paris and New York. Prior to his departure, he had a hefty list of
issues to be taken up during his bilateral discussions with President
Jacques Chiraq and at the General Assembly of the 60th annual convention
of the United Nations. He was also scheduled to meet Presidents George W
Bush, Vladimir Putin and Parvez Musharraf on the sideline of the UN summit
to discuss bilateral and global issues of importance. Commentators and
politicians back home were dissecting his every speech, every move and
every gesture, trying to analyse whether he managed to showcase India’s
rising stature and push for its national interests amidst the
ever-changing dynamics of international relations. He has largely
succeeded.
The sheer symbolic importance of Dr Singh’s speech to the UN General
Assembly cannot be left aside. He began his speech with a reference to the
ancient Indian concept of Vasudaiva Kutumbakam, i.e., “the whole world is
one family”. He dwelt for a considerable time on the vision of shared
destiny of all the member countries of the United Nations, and lauded the
adoption of the UN Millennium Goals by most of them. However, he did chide
certain groups of countries, primarily the richer and the corrupt ones,
saying that while the world “is generous in setting goals”, it is also
“parsimonious in pursuing them.”
When it came to the issue of reforming the UN Security Council, Dr Singh
was unequivocal in his condemnation at the process hitting cul de sac-
“Unfortunately, the UN suffers from…[its]…decision making
process…[that]…reflects the world of 1945, not 2005.” He strongly argued
for the case of the G-4 countries (India, Japan, Germany, Brazil) for
reforming the UNSC, even though it faced stiff opposition from the US,
China and the African Union. He pointed out the “democracy deficit” at the
UN, which denied these countries their rightful place, suggesting that the
UN’s “ability to deliver…on its own charter obligations remain limited” as
a result.
It could be argued that Singh, along with India’s External Affairs
ministry, has missed a trick by still sticking with the G-4, as many
countries are prepared to support India’s bid on its own, but are not sure
about all the four aspirants. For example, during his bilateral meeting
with Dr Singh, Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested “constructive
reform” of the UNSC, and giving India a permanent seat was an essential
part of it. British Prime Minister Tony Blair and French President Jacques
Chiraq have recently re-iterated their unreserved support for India in
this regard. But the United States remains unconvinced about Brazil and
Germany, while China will not have Japan at the table.
On international terrorism, Dr Singh, widely looked upon as a soft-spoken
man, was surprisingly firm. He declared that the international community
“must not yield any space to terrorism”, while maintaining that “India
will never succumb to terrorism”, be it in Jammu & Kashmir, or elsewhere.
He upheld the notions of democracy and called upon all problems to be
discussed within the system, while ruling out that there was any
justification for terror.
His bilateral meetings were arguably tricky in nature and mixed in terms
of success. On one hand, he had an extremely fruitful meeting with
President Chiraq in Paris en route to New York. Apart from signing the
$1.8 billion Scorpene submarine deal with France, he was welcomed with the
declaration from the French government that it will facilitate the supply
of civilian nuclear materials to Delhi, and encourage other members of the
Nuclear Suppliers’ Group to do the same. Similarly, his meeting with
President Putin also bore rich dividends- Russia welcomed the relaxed
rules of technology transfers to India announced by the US, and assured
greater assistance from the Nuclear Suppliers’ Group for India’s
Kundankulam Project. Moreover, in a bid to increase under-utilised
economic relations, Moscow will prepare a “comprehensive study on economic
ties” by the time Dr Singh’s annual visit to the country takes place in
December.
On the other hand, though, he came under increasing pressure from the US
over the proposed $4.7 billion gas pipeline with Iran. According to
official sources, the issue of the pipeline was not on the agenda during
his meeting with President Bush. But a rather hawkish comment by a US
Congressman just days prior to the summit, and a not-so-subtle statement
by Condolezza Rice expressing “concern” about India’s relations with Iran,
drove home the point rather well. India, being a board member of the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), is increasingly being drawn
into the “tripartite diplomacy” over Iran’s nuclear hoopla.
However, on the surface it appears that Dr Singh made India’s stand very
clear. While arguing that “diplomacy must be given a chance”, he also
stated that “Iran must live up to its international obligations” to
suspend conversion and enrichment of uranium without IAEA inspections. He
stated that India had the second largest Shia Muslim population in the
world, was dependent on oil imports from the region, and that 3 to 4
million Indians work in the Gulf, and therefore a stable Middle East was
always desirable by Delhi. At the same time, he did not forget to mention
that a nuclear Iran was “not desirable”. He did the balancing act rather
well, it seems.
Since then, India has surprised many by voting for the US/EU-backed
resolution at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) board meeting
to refer Iran to the UN Security Council over its constant failure to
comply with its guidelines. The leftists in India are predictably furious,
and so apparently-according to a report in The Hindu- is Iran, and
contrary to official statements, it still might torpedo the $7 billion
Iran-India gas pipeline. However, Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran presented
two arguments in defence of India’s decision- first, that it was India
that included a clause in the resolution that left way for further
discussions between Iran and the EU-3 in the future, and once it had
helped formulate the resolution, it had to stand by it or lose
credibility. Thus, India effectively watered down an erstwhile hard line
stance of the West towards Iran. Secondly, by its own judgements as a
board member of the IAEA, India found Iran short of fully co-operating in
increasing transparency about its nuclear activities.
His meeting with President Musharraf suffered from the hangover from a
rather ordinary summit experienced by Pakistan. In his speech to the
General Assembly, Musharraf was reduced to apologising for the A Q Khan
nuclear proliferation network, promising more action to curb terrorism and
getting himself drawn into a controversy over his comments about the rape
of women in Pakistan, and how it was supposedly a ploy to get foreign
visas. His response was predictable- try and shift the limelight to
Kashmir.
The response from the Indian delegation was firm. Foreign Secretary Shyam
Saran dismissed Musharraf’s referral to resolving the Kashmir dispute as
per UNSC resolutions as a result of domestic populist pressures. Dr Singh
too reiterated India’s stance that no troop withdrawals could take place
in the valley until there was a substantial and visible reduction of
terrorism on the ground. Despite the seeming rifts, both sides agreed that
they were dedicated to the peace process and the third round of dialogue
in January “had much going for it”.
A minor, but domestically significant, debacle took place when Dr Singh
made a “casual remark” during his meeting with President Bush about the
opposition he faces back home to the recent nuclear deal signed with
Washington, and how surprised he was at the vociferous attack at the same
by his predecessor Atal Bihari Vajpayee, under whose premiership India
finally began to improve relations with the US. Apparently it is
objectionable to highlight domestic dissent in international meetings for
Singh, but it is all right when Bush mentions the problems he faces with
Congress over the same deal.
Thus it seems that logically there can be no defence of this criticism on
Manmohan Singh. His trip will be marked as a sure, albeit modest, success
as he looks to broaden India’s horizons into the wider world.
Aruni Mukherjee
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