By: Ganesh Sovani
September 20, 2005
expressed here are authorís own and not of this website. Full disclaimer
is at the bottom.
Contrary to the belief, the national executive committee meeting of the
BJP at Chennai turned out to be not only a stormy affair, but it has also
ensued a war of supremacy in RSS and the BJP.
Frankly speaking, no one had never thought, that BJPís incumbent president
would venture in giving a parting shot to the RSS for itís excessive
interest, if not interference in the BJPís day to day affairs. However,
for Advani to say so, Nagpur is also to be equally to blamed for the
manner in which it has unwarrantedly reacted on the various decisions the
BJP led NDA decisions has taken during itís six years rule. It is the
unwillingness of the RSS to understand the political compulsions of the
BJP, irrespective of whether the latter is in power or otherwise. There
lies the whole crux of the matter.
One school of thought believes, that Advani choose Chennai meet somewhat
to settle the score with the parent body, as the RSS had undoubtedly
exerted a tremendous amount pressure on him to resign, over his
controversial remarks on Mohammad Ali Jinnah, which he is still unwilling
to withdraw or amend. But in Chennai meet, he steadfastly defended his
views on Jinnah much to the dismay of his party delegates.
The pressure on Advani either to quit or to pronounce his retirement date
was evident for the manner in which RSS Chief K. Sudarshan and VHP Vice
President were camping in Chennai, when none of these organizations had
any official programme in that city coinciding with the BJPís meet.
Clearly, Advaniís remarks on RSS flummoxed BJP delegates in Chennai and
which have virtually wounded the RSS. RSS appears to be more peeved for
Advani referred to BJPís Ďsymbolic relationshipí with the RSS, when the
Ďumbilical chordí between the two is a reality.
The fact that only two (Venkaih Naidu and Anant Kumar) out of 210
delegates showed the courtesy of remaining present as he left the venue on
Sunday evening is a pointer to disapproval of his remarks both on RSS and
his steadfastness on Jinnah issue even by the delegates. The man, who was
once considered to be an Ďiconí of Hindutva, has suddenly turned out to be
a liability for the party.
However, by resorting to a frontal attack on RSS, Advani has wiped out any
chance of installing his own protťgť as his possible successor, as Nagpur
is unlikely to give a nod to any such leader, whose Hindutva credentials
are debatable, if not doubtful. Conversely, no second rung leader of the
BJP can aspire to don the mantle, unless he gets a ĎNo Objection
Certificateí from Nagpur.
Due to their decade long presence in Delhi, none of the second rung leader
has a regular contact or communication with the party cadres in his or her
respective home states; leave alone the contact with the masses. All these
second rung leaders are beset with several limitations, thanks to the
priorities which they resorted, including the Ďfive star cultureí on which
they have thrived over the years.
Has any one ever heard their views on Indiaís population menace, poverty,
unemployment, economy, investment, countryís security aspects,
environment, education, etc.?
If these second rung leaders can not influence their own party workers,
how can they get along the masses?
Advaniís advance decision to step down ahead of Bihar assembly polls (he
clearly ignored the advice given by his Bihar party unit), will have an
undesirable impact on BJPís alliance with the JD (U), which is able to
smell the power for second time in six months, thanks to decline of Laloo
Ė Rabri Raj. Should BJP Ė JD (U) fail to gain the power, JD (U) might
think of treating BJP as a Ďliabilityí and would not hesitate to snap itís
ties with it and make every effort to form a national level third front
should an occasion arises in the near future.
Notwithstanding what the outgoing president Advani has said about
excessive interest of the RSS, in the BJP, the party can not completely
ignore Nagpur in the succession issue. On the top of that, it will have to
even think of how Advaniís successor would form an equation, with Mohanrao
Bhagwat who is tipped to be the possible successor of K. Sudarshan who too
is likely to step down six months from now.
While deciding Advaniís successor, the BJP will also have to think of his
or her acceptability amongst its NDA partners, who are falling apart from
the BJP in one state after the other. Having lost an alliance with AIDMK
in TN and with the TDP in AP, the BJP is stands to get isolated from itís
erstwhile partners and it might just turned out to be a Hindi heartland
party. Even its alliance with Shiv Sena in Maharashtra has become more
fragile than ever before.
This makes a transition period extremely important for the party to assess
the pros and cons all possible successors of Advani. Indication has is
that the uncertainty will continue to prevail in the party, till the last
moment as the party is heading for an uncertain future for some time to
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