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By:
Santosh Miskin
santosh_miskin2020@yahoo.com
December 27, 2003
‘Move over, sun, and give me some sky,
I got me some wings I`m eager to try,
I may be unknown but wait till I`ve flown,
You`re gonna hear from me.’
The lines of Dory & Andre Previn’s song ‘You`re gonna hear from me’ truly
encapsulate India’s mood. This mood has been transmuted into action in
various vistas. On August 15th 2003, Prime Minister Atal B. Vajpayee in
his Independence Day speech announced from the ramparts of the Red Fort -
“Our country is now ready to fly high in the field of science. I am
pleased to announce that India will send her own spacecraft to the moon by
2008. It is being named Chandrayaan I.” Percy Bysshe Shelley’s “orbed
maiden, with white fire laden” has always been a favorite muse of poets
and she’s caught the attention of our poet – prime minister. The idea
seemed to posses the half-life of exotic matter and failed to generate
much heat and light. It was lost amidst earth-shaking events like Ms.
Sonia Gandhi’s no-confidence motion and Ms. Pooja Bhatt’s nuptials. In the
space-time continuum following our Prime Ministers statement, Brazil faced
a set back when a rocket undergoing final pre-launch tests exploded on its
launch pad; the Europeans launched their moon probe `Smart 1` and the
Chinese have become the third nation to launch its citizen indigenously in
space. Well, our politicians have promised us the moon & stars regularly
so the nonchalance is understandable. Nevertheless, the moon mission
warrants serious debate because of its ramifications on Indian society.
The articles featuring interviews of prominent space scientists succinctly
elucidate the reasons for the mission. Unfortunately, many articles, which
seem to be pro-‘Chandrayaan I‘ contain nauseatingly extraneous,
ideological ‘issue du jour’ arguments while some article writers like to
have it both ways; their enthusiasm for the moon mission waxes and wanes
from article to article. For the naysayers, it’s easy to launch numerous
pre-emptive strikes and shoot down ‘Chandrayaan I’. After all, could we
not utilize the funds for “schools & education” or “in other fields of
science and technology” or “feeding the hungry masses” ? Some other
projectiles hurled will be - “we possess sufficient capabilities for
military purposes”, “let’s fix the MIG’s first”, “let’s solve the Kashmir
issue” and even the no-brainer “its already been done”. The most common
reason to be touted will be – Poverty. So, is ‘Chandrayaan I’ a ‘lunatic
mission’ ? Should escaping “gravity`s grasp” take precedence over
lessening “poverty`s clasp” ? Is ‘Chandrayaan I’ a case of misplaced
priorities ? No ! Lets cut to the chase and see why.
• The gateway to progress and prowess
The gateway to the stars has also become the gateway to progress and
prowess. India has already launched or will launch satellites for diverse
applications in agriculture, telecommunications, cartography, education,
meteorology, remote sensing and disaster management. These satellites are
not elitist endeavors but rather Gandhian tools. Data collected by the
satellites is utilized by those making a living off the land and sea.
State governments provide information that helps farmers choose which
crops to sow, warn fishermen of impending cyclones, broadcast educational
programmes to villagers and help in water resource management. These
satellites also help private sector companies and other government bodies
in urban and rural planning especially during building new infrastructure.
The possible dual uses for our space technologies are obvious. The PSLV
could morph into an ICBM and the launch of ‘Chandrayaan I’ would afford an
opportunity for ISRO to refine its guidance and control systems. Despite a
vicious neighborhood, it’s to India’s credit that we have not precipitated
a military ‘star wars’ type space program.
• Lets give our space scientists their place in the sun
Despite operating under constraints of political pusillanimity, fiscal
finagling and international intrigues, our space scientists have
consistently managed to deliver successfully. India’s IT professionals
caused the international community to sit up and take notice and its time
to pass the baton. Periodic and regular achievements in the space arena
showcased around the world will lead global institutions, companies and
even governments, to collaborate and outsource myriad space related
activities to Indian space research institutions and scientists. Also, a
successful mission can be used to prod and pressurize bureaucrats and
scientists in other government research institutions to get their act
together and start demonstrating results, DRDO’s AVATAR hyper plane for
example We bemoan the fact that our youth are deserting India for foreign
shores or that our engineers are turning to finance or marketing; but what
can we do about it, you ask ? ‘Chandrayaan I’ is one such retention
device, a talent magnet if you will. Also, having challenging scientific
projects will generate magnetic forces strong enough to attract India’s
brightest settled across the globe. ISRO and DRDO can become crucibles and
repositories of Indian scientific talent.
It’s the responsibility of our space scientists to get us to the moon and
it’s the duty of our politicians to see to it that we progress beyond
bullock carts. Lets not enfetter and penalize our scientists for the
failures of our politicians & bureaucrats.
• Its the journey, not the destination
The space race-track has no finishing line. ‘Chandrayaan I’ is simply the
next ‘techno-logical’ step. After that, its Mars and then the Jovian moons
and so on. This race is littered with trees, some with low-hanging fruits
of technological breakthroughs and others with the bitter fruits of
failure.
NASA’s Apollo program enlisted 20,000 companies, and at its peak, included
almost 400,000 people across America, all working with focused dedication
to make those landings on the moon a reality. India’s space agencies
obviously possess the basic technologies to launch rockets & their
payloads into orbit and they have involved institutions across the
country. Nevertheless, our space agencies could add some panache to their
efforts and involve a wider spectrum of the Indian public. Also, popular
support means that simians with wrenches will maintain an astronomical
distance. One approach is to break down future technical requirements for
projects decades down the line into bite-sized discrete sub-projects so
that they can be investigated and improved upon by the Indian scientific
and technical community. Consider the Indians in colleges, R&D centers,
private and public sector companies in India and across the globe as a
massive parallel processing supercomputer, working 24/7. Any breakthroughs
and novel applications can be patented and commercialized. For e.g. ISRO
could conduct competitions (similar to DARPA competitions) for designing a
robot rover prototype that can move autonomously over simulated lunar
surfaces. ISRO gets the technology free and the teams can alter and
commercialize their robots for use by the United Nations in its de-mining
operations, or by the Indian border patrols along the Rajasthan border or
even by companies and individuals for monitoring perimeters. Also, such
mass mobilization efforts can prove invaluable especially during natural
disasters or even war.
• Create the ‘Strategic Discontinuity’ and surf the tsunami that
follows
The Wright brothers who achieved the first powered, manned,
heavier-than-air, controlled flight at Kitty Hawk, NC on December 17, 1903
could scarcely have imagined that advances in space technology and
aeronautics would take mankind to the moon within seven decades. Science
does not advance at a linear, predictable rate. It blooms and unfurls like
a fractal. Technologies overlap, interact, converge, merge and expand and
some, which are very radical cause ‘strategic discontinuities’. These
‘strategic discontinuities’ are like huge waves or tsunamis, which lash
the economic landscape leading to the overhauling or elimination of
existing industries and the creation of new industries. Those who manage
to surf these tsunamis manage to generate incredible amounts of wealth.
The Internet, which is the convergence of telecommunications and computer
technologies, has unleashed a ‘strategic discontinuity’ across various
sectors from the entertainment industry to selling books. Companies like
Amazon, Google, Yahoo and e-Bay came from nowhere and made billions for
their founders. The BPO boom is a tsunami lashing the economies of the
English speaking economies.
Consider a basic human need - Transportation. The ultimate goal of
transportation technology is to transport human beings, animals or objects
from point ‘A’ to point ‘B’ instantaneously (and safely). Planes, trains
and automobiles are outcomes of that pursuit. NASA is currently working on
a project called ‘Prometheus’ to develop technology in the areas of
nuclear power systems for propulsion. This technology will be incorporated
in the ‘Jupiter Icy Moons Orbiter (JIMO)’, which will orbit the Jovian
moons Callisto, Ganymede and Europa. This blending of nuclear, propulsion
and aerospace technologies would provide NASA the ability to cut travel
time to planets from months to weeks. An Indian company will find it very
difficult to beat the stranglehold of Boeing and Airbus in the commercial
airplanes segment, but if ISRO or DRDO were to successfully design and
demonstrate safe, commercially viable vehicles operating on ‘Nuclear
plasma technology” things could change. Such a vehicle, which could eat
time zones for breakfast, would have the potential to cause a ‘strategic
discontinuity’ in the global Aviation industry.
In 1903 CE, Indians would have found it difficult to imagine that in 2003
CE, ‘Air India’ airplanes would be flying regularly from Mumbai’s CSM
airport to New York’s JFK airport with a stopover at London’s Heathrow. In
2103 CE, a ‘Space India’ spaceship taking off from Mumbai’s ‘Vikram
Sarabhai Earth Terminus’ to Mangalpur’s ‘APJ Kalam Terminus’ on Mars with
a stopover at Chandrapur’s ‘AB Vajpayee Terminus’ on the moon is not a
sci-fi scenario.
• ‘Chandrayaan Valley’, anyone ?
Hi-tech hotbeds such as Silicon Valley are spawned when world-class
educational institutions, pioneering companies, related & supporting
industries and venture capitalists inter alia, mingle in an ambience of
pro-business government policies and a culture that rewards risk and
innovation. Such clusters of ultra-high ‘entrepreneurial density’ mimic
black holes sucking in capital and brains from all over the globe.
Why can’t ISRO, DRDO, ADA, IISc, et al. become nuclei around which a
‘Chandrayaan Valley’ develops. This hi-tech cluster can become a hub of
space related activities not unlike Florida’s ‘Space Coast’. ISRO’s
commercial division, Antrix, is a good start but is it enough ? Private
companies are jumping on the space bandwagon. A company called SpaceX
started by Elon Musk (who sold his internet company PayPal’s to eBay for $
1.5 billion) has plans to launch rockets than can put a payload into orbit
for $ 6 million dollars. (www.spacex.com). Why don’t we get pioneering
American entrepreneurs like Musk who have vision and the money, to set up
shop in this valley ? Why can’t we invite European telecommunications
companies, Israeli defense companies or East Asian electronics companies
to set up R&D centers and manufacturing plants in that area ? Why can’t
the government create the factor conditions and replicate the ambience of
America’s Silicon Valley or Sweden’s biotechnology cluster at Uppsala and
then get out of the way? The smell of innovation and entrepreneurs will
automatically attract the venture capitalists. Why can’t ‘Chandrayaan
Valley’ compete with Silicon Valley to attract the best brains, from
Russia to Brazil and the cheapest money, from Japan to the US ?
• Diversifying our ‘prowess portfolio’
Over a period of time, the images associated with India have been
changing. Its increasingly difficult to see the words ‘snake-charmer’ and
‘rope trick’ in the same sentence or paragraph with the word ‘India’; its
more likely acronyms like ‘IT’ and ‘BPO’. That’s a welcome change but why
should we Indians be constrained and restricted to IT & BPO ? What other
sphere’s are there to conquer and who dares define boundary conditions for
us ?
As we gear up to go to the moon, various sectors such as Earth Sciences,
Energy technology, Materials technology, Cryogenics and Robotics, inter
alia, will be touched. Intellectual assets will be acquired and augmented
and these assets need to be put to work and generate a ROI. Can we tweak
the model under which ISRO and DRDO operate ? No doubt, ISRO’s scientists
and engineers are driven by noble ideals for serving India’s common man
and making his life easier and more bearable but starting enterprises,
which can provide jobs and sustenance for the next generations of Indians
is no less noble. While the pursuit of science is its own reward for a
scientist, if she or he were to make money from her/his pursuit, it
certainly won’t hurt ISRO or the common man. For e.g. Millions of Indians
abroad need to keep in touch with the motherland and they inevitably use
‘phone cards’. ‘Phone cards’, as anyone who has used them knows, are
extremely cumbersome and can be a rip-off at times. This need is not just
restricted to Indians but is true for Chinese or the Philippinos diaspora
as well. Could a telecommunications scientist from ISRO start a spin-off
to cater to this market using ISRO’s satellites and any technology it has
developed under some sort of licensing scheme ? Such a company could make
life easier for the diaspora and the profits generated could be used to
subsidize telecommunication services for India’s poor.
In the future, technology and its commercialization will be the keys to
maintaining competitive advantage. India needs to attain a critical mass
of ‘scientist-entrepreneur’s’ in cutting edge sectors to trigger economic
chain reactions whereby the future Cipla’s of the solar energy industry or
the Infosys’ of the robotics industry are spawned. Can we learn something
from the lessons of the global automotive industry ? Can we start
challenging the status quo across industries so that we create Toyotas and
Daimler Chryslers and not Hindustan Motors and Premier Automobiles ?
• Have we made history today ?
What spectacular accomplishments by Indians and India do our history books
narrate for the time bucket 1947 – 2003 CE ? How many first’s can we
Indians lay claim to within this period ? How many Nobel prize winners ?
And, what are we doing presently, to shape the contours of our destiny
over various time fences say 20 years or even 100 years from now ?
Why can’t we be the first country to land a woman on the moon ? Why can’t
we be the first to land a human on Mars ? For the past 500 years, we have
been wandering the backwaters while the Europeans were charting new
territories both literally and metaphorically thanks to their Christopher
Columbus’, Vasco da Gama’s and Marco Polo’s. The Europeans were able to
assimilate new ideas, colonize new territories and were able to advance
light years ahead in terms of material prosperity and technological
advancement. ‘Chandrayaan I’ is a wonderful device to polarize our
populace; to instill values such as love for science and adventure as well
as foster an intellectual curiosity among our youth and children. The
constellation of space heroes of the future must contain a
disproportionately large number of women and men from India. A visible,
macro level, national event such as ‘Chandrayaan I’ might even begin the
catalysis of invisible, micro-level, individual histories for e.g. a poor
farming couple in a remote village in India deciding to send their
children to school to stop the vicious cycle of illiteracy at their
generation or a young girl, resolving to be an astronaut when she grows
up. Couldn’t ‘Chandrayaan I’ be a tornado unleashing millions of tiny
‘virtuous eddies’ across India ?
Presently, we speak of the Indian diasporas in the US or Fiji. In the next
hundred years, we will talk about the Indian diasporas on the moon or
Mars. Then again, maybe, there won’t be such a thing as Indian or American
or Chinese in space. Out there, maybe, national, religious, ethnic and
racial identities might blur and fuse into a single identity – Earthling.
In the meanwhile, if the Americans have their ‘astronauts’, the Russians
their ‘cosmonauts’ and the Chinese their ‘taikonauts’ we Indians must have
our own, well, ‘juggernauts’. If we become the second nation to land a
human on the moon it would cause an enormous impact. Better still; if we
were to establish a permanent beachhead on the moon, it would begin a new
chapter in the history of India and the world.
• 250 million reasons and counting
In 1977, the dominant logic for IBM’s forced egress from India would have
been something like - “These gigantic calculators are anti-poor”.
Likewise, Coca Cola was shown the door by our socialists probably because
it was a “sponge soaking up the sweat and blood of India’s poor.” So, did
throwing out a soft drink manufacturer because Indian villages did not
have potable water solve the water problem of India’s villages ? No ! The
hindsight’s 20/20 vision and we know our folly now.
Yes, there is a lot to be done in India in terms of poverty alleviation,
potable water, electricity, health care etc. but obstructing ‘Chandrayaan
I’ will definitely not solve these problems simply because the reasons lie
elsewhere. There are degrees of separation between ‘Chandrayaan I’ and
poverty alleviation. A moon-rocket blasting off from Sriharikota will not
cause instantaneous generation of wealth. If the right conditions are
created, time transcending, cascading effects will occur that will
gradually transmute the economy and populace.
There is nothing more anti-poor than putting impediments in the march of
technology. It’s the pursuit of the truth & knowledge that drives science;
technology is the manifestation of this pursuit and technology, ladies and
gentlemen, is what raises the development profile of a society not mere
“Garibi hatao” type solutions and slogans. ‘Chandrayaan I’ is not at
cross-purposes with the fight against poverty; it is the fight against
poverty. That being the case, there are 250 million reasons to go, one for
every Indian below the poverty line.
In conclusion, ‘Chandrayaan I’ can cause a churning which will produce
nectar. We have to push in a multi-pronged manner to lift India’s poor
upwards and if technology is the lever, ‘Chandrayaan I’ is the fulcrum. If
India’s growth rates have to accelerate beyond a slothful 6 % or 7 %, we
must target, not just existing industries where progression in growth will
be arithmetic or geometric but seek to create new industries where
progression will be exponential.
We will have to focus on India specific needs while devising our space
programs but lets not lose sight of what the rest are doing. Also, if we
are to close the technological hiatus between ourselves and the rest lets
benchmark our space programs against best of the breed i.e. the Americans,
Russians and Europeans and not against nations like China or Nauru.
The ascent of ‘Chandrayaan I’ is one of the touchstones of an India
ascendant; an India that has emerged from Her chrysalis. Its time for
India to spread Her wings and explore new trajectories. Its time for us
Indians to step out of our infinitesimal blue & brown pebble and step into
the cerulean infinity.
Santosh Miskin
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