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By: K Parthasarathi
July 15, 2007
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expressed here are author"s own and not of this website. Full disclaimer
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(Author is a Chennai based freelance writer. Has contributes regularly
at Samachar.)
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Change in population size, geographic distribution and composition of
gender are all concerns of the government. It has to balance its
population policy with the overall goal of improving the national
prosperity. It cannot allow one section or state to wallow in poverty,
illiteracy, ill health while other sections are making progress.
There is little correlation between the population size of a country and
its power of influence in the international sphere. If size alone had
mattered, dinosaur would not have gone extinct. United States with about
4% of world population, far lower than that of China or India is the most
powerful nation with its unwritten writ running across the world. It is
not therefore the number of people that is significant but their wealth.
The wealth of the nation as represented by the per capita income as also
the attitude of the people and the government to exercise their influence
in the larger sphere are essential factors for wielding this power. It is
actually the product of both the size of population and per capita income
that would determine the weight in political power.
While it would be prudent for USA to increase its population by birth or
immigration to augment its national wealth further, the key for India and
China lies in their increase of disposable national wealth, restricting
the size of their population and the concomitant swelling of per capita
income. If India or China were to do this and USA remained stagnant with
the present population level, America is bound to yield its high pedestal
to the former.
This is however not wholly true within a country. The size of population
of a religious or ethnic group within the country determines to an extent
its power in the political affairs of the country. More so in countries
that have one man, one vote system. But size alone is not adequate. Coming
to the national scene, the revelation in the Census of an increase in the
rate of population growth of Muslims in comparison to the Hindus by itself
may not matter much.
The economic power of a group or the state rests on its high literacy and
occupational skills for gainful employment. Mere increase in population is
not a sure road to greater power. The Jews in America form a negligible
minority but they have high professional and educational status. They
occupy key positions in the society and are able to exert their influence
despite their smaller number.
On the other hand blacks forming sizable portion of the population in
South and Deep South have not been able to attain the political power like
the whites as adequate attention has not been bestowed on education and
improvement of skills.
The Muslims in India can become a potent political force only if they
embrace the educational system followed by others instead of putting their
children in Madrassas that teach the children subjects not relevant to
acquiring skills. If they join the main educational stream, it would
enable them to acquire much higher literacy and job related skills
resulting in economic prosperity. No doubt the growth rate would decline.
There is yet another lesson both for Hindus and Muslims alike. Indian
population is relatively young when compared to other nations. Higher
fertility and having more than one wife lead to larger number of
dependents. This is further assisted by increased medical facilities and
decreased mortality in general.
With the ratio of income earners to the non earning number in the families
thus declining, the standard of living necessarily comes down and affects
not only their economic well being but that of the country also as the net
disposable income comes down. Huge capital is needed for infrastructure
like roads, railways, electricity, irrigation communications and such
like.
This can be found without borrowing from abroad only by increasing the
national savings for investment. A decline in population rate would reduce
significantly the number of dependents per wage earner and increase the
disposable income for capital investments as also the standard of living.
Change in population size, geographic distribution and composition of
gender are all concerns of the government. It has to balance its
population policy with the over all goal of improving the national
prosperity. It cannot allow one section or state to wallow in poverty,
illiteracy, ill health while other sections are making progress.
Increasing the number in the family cannot be considered an inalienable
right. This should be tempered with the social obligation of all round
improvement.
Any legislation by the government should have a common purpose
uninfluenced by religious considerations. The government places high value
on human life and its laws are designed to protect it. Yet in times of
war, it sends its army to fight well aware of the imminent loss of lives.
This is done for the greater good of the maximum. Likewise the government
for the national welfare may enact laws restricting the size of family to
two through family planning or abortion.
The Indian programme of family planning hitherto has been like the
curate"s egg good in parts. It has been successful only among the
literates and the economically well off. Its implementation has not been
uniform as it is voluntary. Certain states in the North and certain
religious groups have not availed of the facility in the absence of
persuasion from the governments and an element of gentle compulsion.
The result is there for all to see with poverty levels high among these
states and religious groups in comparison to others. While the average
number of children in better off families is 1.99, the average is 3.47 in
the poorer families indicating a correlation to poverty and the number of
mouths to feed. An emerging pattern from the Census figures is that as the
communities move up the socio-economic ladder, their growth rate starts
coming down.
This is evident from the fact that the better developed states tend to
have lower growth rates than the less developed. But the economically
weaker sections see strength in number as even kids are sent to work to
fetch more money. Sad but true, this situation can be addressed only by
governmental programs of rewarding the families of the economically weaker
sections with a monetary inducement in the form of an allowance where the
families do not have more than two children and also restricting freebies
like free ration, free schooling to two children.
This can be done with a cut off date so as not to harm the existing
families with more than two children. This is bound to encourage the newer
families to adopt two child norms. In a secular country, laws should be
enacted for all sections of the people without discrimination on the basis
of religion, gender or region.
Instead of sensationalizing the revelations in the Census figures on
religious lines, it would be wise to accept the positive correlation
between higher growth rate on one side and illiteracy and poverty on the
other and take corrective measures for raising the quality of life for
all, be they Hindus or Muslims. Politics need not be injected in what is
otherwise a national priority.
K Parthasarathi
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